Gartner, kafukufuku wa ukadaulo wa ukadaulo komanso kampani yofufuza, tafotokoza za mu 2024, zomwe zimachitika zomwe zimachitika mu 2024, zomwe zimachitika zomwe zili 2024, zomwe zimachitika zomwe zili mu 2024, zomwe zimachitika zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito pothana ndi zosintha zomwe zidabweretsa mapulogalamu ndi magetsi mu gawo la magetsi.
Mafuta ndi magetsi amatenga mphamvu mwachangu kuposa momwe amayembekezera
Mtengo wa batire ukugwa, koma mtengo wamagetsi wopanga magalimoto udzagwa mwachangu chifukwa cha matekinolojeni atsopano monga gigacast. Zotsatira zake, garcer amayembekeza kuti pogwiritsa 2027 magalimoto amagetsi azikhala okwera mtengo kuposa ma injini apakati mwa mankhwala chifukwa cha matebulo opanga ndi ndalama zochepa.
Pankhani imeneyi, Pedro Pacheco, Purezidenti Wachiwiri wa Gartner, anati: "Chiyembekezo chatsopano cha Oems chofuna kuweta momwe bizinesi imakhalira. Amabweretsa matekinolojeni atsopano omwe amasintha ndalama zopanga, monga zomangamanga zamagetsi zapadera kapena zomwe zimaphatikizidwa ndi kufa, zomwe zimathandizira kuchepetsa ndalama zopanga. Mtengo ndi Mtengo Nthawi Yasonkhana, Odyera Odyera alibe koma kulolera zotulukapo izi kuti apulumuke. "
"Tesla ndi ena ayang'ana pa njira yatsopano," Pacheco adauza News News patsogolo pa liwu lotulutsidwa.
Chimodzi mwazinthu zodziwika bwino kwambiri za tesla "zophatikizika ndi kufa," zomwe zimatanthawuza kufa-kuponyera galimoto imodzi, m'malo mongogwiritsa ntchito mfundo ndi zomata zambiri. Pacheco ndi akatswiri ena amakhulupirira kuti Tesla ndi mtsogoleri wankhani pakudulira Msonkhano Wodulira ndalama ndi mpainiya wophatikizira kufa.
Kulera magalimoto amagetsi kumachepetsa m'misika ina yayikulu, kuphatikizapo United States ndi Europe, kotero akatswiri amati ndizofunikira kwa mitundu yotsika mtengo.
Pacheco adanenanso kuti ukadaulo wogwirizira wokha womwe ungachepetse mtengo wa thupi loyera ndi "osachepera" 20%, ndipo kuchepetsedwa kwina kumatheka pogwiritsa ntchito maofesi a batri.
Mtengo wa Batri wakhala ukugwa kwa zaka zambiri, koma kuti ayambe kukwera misonkhano inali "yosayembekezereka" yomwe ingabweretse magalimoto amagetsi kuti azikhala ndi injini zamagetsi posachedwa kuposa momwe amaganizira. Ananenanso kuti: "Tikufika pofika pofika nthawi yofunika kwambiri kuposa momwe timayembekezera."
Makamaka, nsanja yapa modzipereka imapangitsa kuti mizere yopanga misonkhano yamisonkhano ikhale yopanga mizere yokwanira kuti igwirizane ndi mikhalidwe yawo, kuphatikizapo ma powerrans ndi batire lathyathyathya.
Mosiyana ndi izi, nsanja zoyenera "inlings-powertiins" zimakhala ndi zofooka zina, chifukwa zimafuna malo kuti agwirizane ndi thanki yamafuta kapena injini.
Ngakhale izi zikutanthauza kuti magalimoto amagetsi a batri idzakwaniritsa mafuta oyenda bwino kwambiri kuposa momwe amayembekezeredwa kwambiri kuposa momwe amayembekezeredwa poyamba, zikuyembekezeredwanso mtengo wa magalimoto ena a batri.
Garcerner amalosera kuti pofika 2027, mtengo wambiri wokonzanso ngozi zazikulu zokhudzana ndi matupi agalimoto ndi mabatire achulukitsa ndi 30%. Chifukwa chake, eni ake akhoza kukhala okonda kusankha galimoto yamagetsi yamagetsi monga mtengo wokonza akhoza kukhala wamkulu kuposa mtengo wake wopepuka. Momwemonso, chifukwa kukonzanso kugundana ndi kukwera mtengo kwambiri, ndalama za inshuwaransi zagalimoto zitha kukhala zambiri, ngakhale kuyambitsa makampani a inshuwaransi kuti athe kukana zowonjezera pazithunzi zina.
Kuchepetsa mtengo wotulutsa ma bevs sikuyenera kubwera chifukwa cha ndalama zothandizira kukonza, chifukwa izi zitha kupangitsa kuti ogula azigulitsa nthawi yayitali. Njira zatsopano zopangira magalimoto amagetsi okwanira ziyenera kutumizidwa limodzi ndi njira zomwe zimawonetsetsa ndalama zotsika.
Msika wamagetsi wamagetsi amalowa "kupulumuka kwa" gawo lokwanira "
Pacheco adanena kuti ndi ndalama zochokera m'magalimoto amagetsi zimatanthauzira kukwera mitengo yotsika, koma iyenso amagwiritsa ntchito mafakitale a magetsi kuti azitha kuwononga phindu.
Kuphatikiza apo, gartner amaloserabe kukula kwa magalimoto ogulitsa magalimoto, ndi theka la magalimoto ogulitsidwa mu 2030 kukhala magalimoto oyeretsa. Koma poyerekeza ndi "kuthamanga kwa Golide" yamagetsi yoyambirira, msika ukulowa nthawi ya "kupulumuka kwamphamvu".
Pacheco omwe amalongosola 2024 ngati chaka cha kusintha kwa msika wamagetsi wa ku Europe, wokhala ndi makampani achikunja monga Byd ndi Mg.
"Zinthu zambiri zomwe zikuchitika pano sizingathandize kugulitsa, koma akukonzekera zinthu zazikulu," adatero.
Pakadali pano, zoyambira zamagetsi zambiri zimalimbana ndi chaka chatha, kuphatikizapo poletandar, omwe awona mtengo wake wogawana kwambiri kuyambira mndandanda wake, ndi a Lucid, omwe amadula zonena zawo 2024. Makampani ena ovutikira amaphatikizanso fusker, omwe ali okamba nkhani ndi Nissan, ndi Gahee, omwe adangojambulidwa kumene popanga.
Pacheco adati, Zovuta zovuta. "
Garcerner amaneneratu kuti pofika 2027, 15% yamakampani yamagetsi yamagalimoto omwe adakhazikitsidwa mu zaka khumi zapitazo adzapeza kapena kuwonongeka, makamaka omwe amadalira kwambiri ndalama kuti apitilize ntchito. Komabe, "izi sizitanthauza kuti makampani opanga zamagetsi akuchepa, amangolowa gawo latsopano komwe makampani omwe ali ndi zinthu zabwino kwambiri ndi ntchito zimapambana makampani ena." Paacheco adatero.
Kuphatikiza apo, ananenanso kuti "mayiko ambiri akugwira ntchito zolimbikitsira magalimoto pamagetsi, ndikupangitsa kuti msika ukhale wovuta kwambiri kwa osewera omwe alipo." Komabe, "tikulowa gawo latsopano lomwe magalimoto amagetsi sangagulitsidwe pamavuto / zopindulitsa kapena zaumoyo. Bevs iyenera kukhala yogulitsa kwambiri poyerekeza ndi magalimoto apakatikati. "
Pomwe msika wapamwamba umapanga, zotumiza komanso kulowa m'lowererali kudzapitilira kukula. Garcer amaneneratu kuti zotumiza zamagetsi zimafika m'ma 18,4 miliyoni mu 2024 ndi 20,6 miliyoni magawo 2025.
Post Nthawi: Mar-20-2024